Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.84	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.93	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)	1.39 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
32.7%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Guillen Meza's form might have worsened.

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Seyboth Wild's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 193. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 216.

In recent matches, Guillen Meza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Seyboth Wild is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Facundo Mena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Hernan Casanova - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Casanova H. retired ✺
18.11.25	Emilio Camacho - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LW?WL
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Clement Tabur - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Carlos Taberner - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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