Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Kaichi Uchida		Igor Marcondes

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.49	2.47	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.83	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
54.3%

Igor Marcondes
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Kaichi Uchida - Igor Marcondes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Marcondes will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 288. Marcondes is ranked ATP: 469.

Uchida is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marcondes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marcondes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Kei Nishikori - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Ryotaro Taguchi - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Hyeon Chung - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWL?
- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Kanju Furusho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW

Kaichi Uchida - Igor Marcondes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide