The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilia Simakin 40.6%
Marko Topo 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilia Simakin's form might have worsened.
Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marko Topo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Ilia Simakin - Marko Topo Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Topo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Simakin is ranked ATP: 299.Topo is ranked ATP: 358.
Simakin is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Topo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Topo could have a small edge in this match.
The players have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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