Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kachreti (Georgia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kachreti (Georgia) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ilia Simakin		Roberto Cid Subervi

	1	2
	1.8	1.94
	1.8	1.94
	1.73	2
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.72	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	1.96 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
52.7%

Roberto Cid Subervi
47.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Roberto Cid Subervi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Cid Subervi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Cid Subervi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Simakin in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cid Subervi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Simakin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ITF Tournaments
11.05.24	Ilia Simakin - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Ilia Simakin - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
09.05.24	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Zura Tkemaladze - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Roberto Cid Subervi
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Roberto Cid Subervi	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Roberto Cid Subervi - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Roberto Cid Subervi - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Benjamin Lock - Roberto Cid Subervi	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Juan Pablo Paz - Roberto Cid Subervi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Ilia Simakin - Roberto Cid Subervi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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