Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Aleksandre Bakshi		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.3	1.18
	4.59	1.21
	9.67	1.03	Watch
	4.33	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (2.6)	1.16 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aleksandre Bakshi
17.6%

Ilia Simakin
82.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandre Bakshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandre Bakshi's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandre Bakshi than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandre Bakshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aleksandre Bakshi - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Bakshi is ranked ATP: 538. Simakin is ranked ATP: 277.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bakshi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Simakin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bakshi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandre Bakshi
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Timofei Derepasko	Bakshi A. retired ✺
07.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Nino Ehrenschneider	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Essa Qabazard	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LWWL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Ilia Simakin - Nikita Bilozertsev	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Ilia Simakin - Richard Antoni	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Ilia Simakin - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Ilia Simakin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.05.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Ilia Simakin	0:2
09.03.22	Ilia Simakin - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:1

Aleksandre Bakshi - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide