Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Illya Marchenko		John Millman

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.13	1.66
	2.23	1.74
	2.2	1.67
	2.19	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
43.6%

John Millman
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

John Millman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Millman than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.5%	0%	29.5%

Illya Marchenko - John Millman Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). Millman will win (votes: 13 - 29.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marchenko: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Millman is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marchenko has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Millman won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Moscow
19.10.21	Alexander Bublik - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Illya Marchenko - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Radu Albot - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
30.09.21	John Millman - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
29.09.21	Andreas Seppi - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW
- John Millman
ATP Moscow
18.10.21	John Millman - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	John Millman - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
08.10.21	Jack Sock - John Millman	1:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
01.10.21	John Millman - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
30.09.21	John Millman - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sofia
30.09.21	John Millman - Illya Marchenko	2:1

Illya Marchenko - John Millman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide