Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Final

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Ilya Ivashka		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.81	2.14
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.79	2.07
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
54.3%

Marat Sharipov
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Marat Sharipov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marat Sharipov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ilya Ivashka - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sharipov will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ivashka is ranked ATP: 393. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 442.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Ivashka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marat Sharipov - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Sean Cuenin - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Ilya Ivashka - Marat Sharipov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide