Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Andre Ilagan		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	3.20	1.33	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.95	1.34
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.54)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
31%

Marat Sharipov
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marat Sharipov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marat Sharipov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andre Ilagan - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 195., and Sharipov is ranked ATP: 238..

In recent outings, Ilagan has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sharipov is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Sharipov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sharipov for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sharipov in today's match, at odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ilagan has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Marat Sharipov - Andre Ilagan	2:0
14.04.25	Marat Sharipov - Andre Ilagan	2:0

Andre Ilagan - Marat Sharipov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide