Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Ilya Ivashka		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.47
	2.74	1.52
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.81	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.3)	1.48 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
35.3%

Matteo Berrettini
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilya Ivashka's performance.

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Berrettini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Berrettini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.9%	0%	64.1%

Ilya Ivashka - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 23 - 35.9%). Berrettini will win (votes: 41 - 64.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 52.3% – 75.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ivashka in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Berrettini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ivashka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ivashka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP US Open
02.09.21	Vasek Pospisil - Ilya Ivashka	0:3 ✺
31.08.21	Tennys Sandgren - Ilya Ivashka	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
28.08.21	Ilya Ivashka - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
27.08.21	Ilya Ivashka - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
26.08.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP US Open
02.09.21	Corentin Moutet - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
31.08.21	Jeremy Chardy - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.21	Matteo Berrettini - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.08.21	Matteo Berrettini - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
11.07.21	Novak Djokovic - Matteo Berrettini	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
05.07.21	Matteo Berrettini - Ilya Ivashka	3:0
ATP Challenger
10.08.17	Ilya Ivashka - Matteo Berrettini	0:2

Ilya Ivashka - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide