Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Ioannis Xilas		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.51	2.64
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.84)	2.46 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ioannis Xilas
62.1%

Alex Rybakov
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ioannis Xilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ioannis Xilas's performance.

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ioannis Xilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Rybakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Ioannis Xilas - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xilas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ioannis Xilas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Xilas is ranked ATP: 363. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 304.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Xilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ioannis Xilas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ioannis Xilas
ATP Challenger
06.03.26	Ioannis Xilas - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Ioannis Xilas - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Gabriele Piraino - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Ioannis Xilas	Canceled ✺
17.02.26	Federico Cina - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWW?L
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Ioannis Xilas - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide