Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Ipek Oz		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	1.4	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipek Oz
58.6%

Federica Urgesi
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipek Oz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipek Oz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ipek Oz - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Oz is ranked WTA: 335. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 398.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Urgesi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipek Oz
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Mona Barthel - Ipek Oz	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Ipek Oz - Nala Kovacic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Ipek Oz - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Ipek Oz - Ranah Akua Stoiber	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Selena Janicijevic - Ipek Oz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Federica Urgesi - Julia Avdeeva	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Marine Szostak - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Jenny Duerst - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Federica Urgesi - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

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