Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Aryna Sabalenka		Iva Jovic

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.15	5.4	Watch
	1.17	5.83
	1.15	5.77	Watch
	1.14	5.5
	1.17	5.62	Watch
	1.14	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 (1.15)	5.61 ↑ (5.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
83%

Iva Jovic
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Iva Jovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	0%	56%

Aryna Sabalenka - Iva Jovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Jovic will win (votes: 14 - 56%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jovic: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 6 - 40%). Jovic (votes: 9 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Jovic (3.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Jovic (3.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Jovic (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 14.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Jovic (2.54) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Jovic (votes: 18 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Jovic is ranked WTA: 27.

Sabalenka is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jovic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
11.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW
- Iva Jovic
WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Yulia Putintseva - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Iva Jovic - Priscilla Hon	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Iva Jovic - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
16.01.26	Iva Jovic - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

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