Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SOFIA (BULGARIA), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jack Draper		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.38	3.31
	1.38	3.31
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.39	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
69.9%

Jan-Lennard Struff
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Jack Draper - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Struff will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Struff is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Sofia
09.11.23	Jack Draper - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Jack Draper - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Jack Draper - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Jack Draper - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Sofia
09.11.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

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