Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna (Austria) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	09:50	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	15:50	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	14:50	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	14:50	TV2 Play
Finland	15:50	MTV Katsomo+
France	14:50	Eurosport 2
Germany	14:50	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	15:50	COSMOTE Sport 7
Netherlands	14:50	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	14:50	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	15:50	Prima Sport PPV 3


	Lorenzo Musetti		Jack Draper

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.06	1.43
	3.03	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.97	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.79)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
31.7%

Jack Draper
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 17. Draper is ranked ATP: 18.

Recent matches Musetti is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Draper is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
25.10.24	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. walkover ✺
22.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 W?WLL
- Jack Draper
ATP Vienna
25.10.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Luciano Darderi - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
26.09.24	Jack Draper - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sofia
08.11.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2
ATP Next Gen Finals
10.11.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:3
Boys Singles Wimbledon
12.07.18	Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1

Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper