Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Jack Draper		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.64	2.36
	1.64	2.36
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.27	Watch
	1.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
58.1%

Brandon Nakashima
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Jack Draper - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Nakashima will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Draper will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Challenger
03.11.23	Jack Draper - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Jack Draper - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
31.10.23	Jack Draper - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Jack Draper - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
03.11.23	Brandon Nakashima - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Richard Gasquet - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
11.11.22	Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper	3:1

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