Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Jack Draper		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.96
	1.48	2.82	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)	2.79 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
65.8%

Tomas Machac
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.2%	0%	56.8%

Jack Draper - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Machac will win (votes: 25 - 59.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 44.7% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 25. Machac is ranked ATP: 39.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Draper will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Draper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
27.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Jack Draper	Zhang Z. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jack Draper - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WW?LW
- Tomas Machac
ATP US Open
31.08.24	David Goffin - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Korda	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Fabio Fognini - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Max Purcell - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
21.05.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:0
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:1
02.11.21	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:1

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