Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava 2 (Slovakia), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Roman Safiullin		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.58	2.49
	1.53	2.57	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)	2.48 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
62.1%

Kei Nishikori
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kei Nishikori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kei Nishikori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

Roman Safiullin - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nishikori will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 59. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 140.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Marton Fucsovics - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

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