Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Peterson S. (Usa)


	Jacob Fearnley		Li Tu

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.9
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.76	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.91)	2.69 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
65.1%

Li Tu
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Li Tu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Li Tu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Jacob Fearnley - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Tu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fearnley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fearnley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Antoine Bellier	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Cooper Williams	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
15.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Gijs Brouwer - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Li Tu
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Charles Broom - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Valentin Royer - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
15.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Li Tu	0:2

Jacob Fearnley - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide