Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Jacob Fearnley		Michael Zheng

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.65
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.30	1.63
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
41.8%

Michael Zheng
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Michael Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Jacob Fearnley - Michael Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Zheng will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 121. Zheng is ranked ATP: 120.

Fearnley has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zheng is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zheng is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Zheng will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Zheng - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.12%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Michael Zheng
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Michael Zheng - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Michael Zheng - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Michael Zheng - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Michael Zheng	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Michael Zheng	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Jacob Fearnley - Michael Zheng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide