Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Final

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Jacob Fearnley		Adam Walton

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.93
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
50.3%

Adam Walton
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jacob Fearnley - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Walton will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 159. Walton is ranked ATP: 85.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Adam Walton - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
11.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWL
- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
11.07.26	Adam Walton - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Arthur Gea - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Adam Walton - Dino Prizmic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

Jacob Fearnley - Adam Walton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide