Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Jacopo Berrettini		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.79	2.06
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.55)	1.95 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Berrettini
51.1%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacopo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacopo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jacopo Berrettini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ambrogi will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ambrogi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 365. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 390.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Berrettini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Berrettini is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berrettini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Buvaysar Gadamauri	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.07.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Sergi Perez Contri	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Alvaro Jimenez	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Darius Florin Pop	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ITF Tournaments
23.08.25	Remy Bertola - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Francesco Forti - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Silvio Mencaglia - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.08.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2

Jacopo Berrettini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide