Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Jacopo Vasami		Stefanos Sakellaridis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.05	1.69
	2.14	1.77
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.26)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Vasami
45.7%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacopo Vasami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Sakellaridis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jacopo Vasami - Stefanos Sakellaridis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vasami is ranked ATP: 555. Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 214.

Vasami is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakellaridis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sakellaridis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
22.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Martin Krumich - Jacopo Vasami	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Jacopo Vasami - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
22.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Henri Squire - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Zdenek Kolar - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL

Jacopo Vasami - Stefanos Sakellaridis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide