Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Toby Samuel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.05	1.83
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)	1.83 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
48.9%

Toby Samuel
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 210. Samuel is ranked ATP: 169.

Recent performances by Sakellaridis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Samuel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakellaridis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Zdenek Kolar - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Lukas Neumayer - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide