Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Jaime Faria		Igor Marcondes

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.49	2.75
	1.44	2.58	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.64)	2.57 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
63.5%

Igor Marcondes
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaime Faria's performance.

Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igor Marcondes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igor Marcondes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jaime Faria - Igor Marcondes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jaime Faria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 163. Marcondes is ranked ATP: 307.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Jaime Faria - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Jaime Faria - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW
- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Daniel Antonio Nunez	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Jaime Faria	2:0

Jaime Faria - Igor Marcondes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide