Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Jaime Faria		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2	1.73
	1.83	1.91
	1.95	1.75
	2.03	1.85
	1.97	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.1	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.69)	1.8 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
47.7%

Lukas Neumayer
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaime Faria's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jaime Faria - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Neumayer will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 Games - Neumayer (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Neumayer (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 117. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 188.

Faria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neumayer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Jaime Faria - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Jaime Faria - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Petr Brunclik - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Eero Vasa - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Zsombor Piros - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

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