Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Jaime Faria		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.11
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	2 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
53.4%

Emilio Nava
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emilio Nava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Jaime Faria will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 119. Nava is ranked ATP: 108.

Faria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Emilio Nava - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Petr Brunclik - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Eero Vasa - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Tiago Torres - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Jaime Faria - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Liam Draxl - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Federico Bondioli - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Emilio Nava - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Emilio Nava - Jaime Faria	0:2

Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide