Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Jaime Faria		Colton Smith

	1	2
	1.25	3.75
	1.25	3.55
	1.28	3.91
	1.26	3.71	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.3	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	3.72 ↑ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
74.6%

Colton Smith
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jaime Faria - Colton Smith Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jaime Faria will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 117. Smith is ranked ATP: 186.

Faria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Smith has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Faria is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Jaime Faria - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Petr Brunclik - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Eero Vasa - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Tiago Torres - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Colton Smith
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Colton Smith - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Laslo Djere - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Colton Smith - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Jurij Rodionov - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Kei Nishikori - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Jaime Faria - Rinky Hijikata	✺

Jaime Faria - Colton Smith