Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Elmer Moller		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.57)	1.8 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
48.5%

Jaime Faria
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elmer Moller's form might have worsened.

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaime Faria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elmer Moller - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Faria will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Faria (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 120. Faria is ranked ATP: 151.

Moller has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moller might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Moller will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
30.11.25	Elmer Moller - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Elmer Moller - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Elmer Moller - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
01.11.25	Vit Kopriva - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Jaime Faria - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jaime Faria - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jaime Faria - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

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