Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Francisco Cerundolo		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.64	Watch
	2.23	1.65	Watch
	2.35	1.63
	2.31	1.64	Watch
	2.32	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
41.7%

Jakub Mensik
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Francisco Cerundolo aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Jakub Mensik aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Mensik will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 50%). Mensik (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 20., and Mensik is ranked ATP: 15..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Mensik could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Mensik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cerundolo has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 1.5:0.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Francisco Cerundolo - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.44%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
03.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
03.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Jakub Mensik - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0

Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik