Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.58	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.71	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.53)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
35.7%

Jakub Mensik
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mensik will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 50%). Mensik (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Mensik (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mensik (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 22., and Mensik is ranked ATP: 14..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Cerundolo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Mensik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cerundolo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
27.10.25	Jakub Mensik - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0

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