Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Nuno Borges		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.55	2.47
	1.56	2.61
	1.62	2.42	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.56	2.45	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
61%

Jakub Mensik
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	0%	41.4%

Nuno Borges - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Mensik will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 34. Mensik is ranked ATP: 65.

Two players are playing changeable.

Mensik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borges will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Nuno Borges	0:3 ✺
27.08.24	Nuno Borges - Federico Coria	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Nuno Borges - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Adrian Mannarino - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Jakub Mensik	2:3 ✺
27.08.24	Jakub Mensik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Jakub Mensik - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Jakub Mensik - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

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