Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Jakub Paul		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	2.93	1.38	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.43	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.69)	1.4 (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
33.7%

Calvin Hemery
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jakub Paul - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Hemery will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 350. Hemery is ranked ATP: 166.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Paul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hemery might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Hemery will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Jakub Paul - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Jakub Paul - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Jakub Paul - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Filippo Romano - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Denis Yevseyev - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Jerome Kym - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Calvin Hemery - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Calvin Hemery - Filip Cristian Jianu	Hemery C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.08.21	Jakub Paul - Calvin Hemery	2:0

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