Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Jakub Paul		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.42	Watch
	2.73	1.47
	2.58	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.14)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
35.2%

Jurij Rodionov
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Paul's performance.

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurij Rodionov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurij Rodionov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jakub Paul - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rodionov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 343. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 209.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Rodionov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rodionov is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Jakub Paul - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Jakub Paul - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Jakub Paul - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Dino Prizmic - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
08.03.25	Arthur Bouquier - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Jurij Rodionov - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Jakub Paul	2:0

Jakub Paul - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide