Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Jurij Rodionov		Jakub Paul

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.55	2.47
	1.55	2.4
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
60.1%

Jakub Paul
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Jurij Rodionov - Jakub Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 209. Paul is ranked ATP: 343.

Two players are playing changeable.

Rodionov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rodionov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Jurij Rodionov - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Karan Singh - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Jurij Rodionov - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Jakub Paul - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Jakub Paul - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Jakub Paul - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Dino Prizmic - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Jakub Paul - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL

Jurij Rodionov - Jakub Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide