Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Keegan Smith		Jakub Paul

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.08	6.78	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.67)	3.74 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
73.9%

Jakub Paul
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Paul will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 50%). Paul (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 308. Paul is ranked ATP: 496.

Smith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Paul - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.41%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Keegan Smith - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Keegan Smith - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWW
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Daniel Jade - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Jakub Paul - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jakub Paul - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Jakub Paul - Maxime Janvier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide