Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Jakub Paul		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.77	1.46
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.41)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
34.9%

Vilius Gaubas
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jakub Paul - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 325. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gaubas to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Jakub Paul - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Jakub Paul - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Jakub Paul - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jakub Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

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