Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Jakub Paul		Mikalai Haliak

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.25
	1.25	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.55
	1.28	3.55
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.19	Watch
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	3.4 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
72.6%

Mikalai Haliak
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Paul's performance.

Mikalai Haliak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikalai Haliak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikalai Haliak than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikalai Haliak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Paul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haliak is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Haliak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.03.24	Thomas Deschamps - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Matthew Donald - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Jakub Paul - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
22.02.24	Jakub Paul - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Mikalai Haliak
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Yuta Shimizu - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lucas Poullain - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Adrian Andreev - Mikalai Haliak	2:0
12.02.24	Anthony Popyrin - Mikalai Haliak	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Mikalai Haliak - Yusuke Takahashi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Jakub Paul - Mikalai Haliak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide