Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	James Duckworth		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.42
	1.50	2.45	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
59.4%

Alex Bolt
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

James Duckworth - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bolt will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): James Duckworth will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 106. Bolt is ranked ATP: 238.

Duckworth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bolt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Duckworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duckworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Alex Bolt - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	James Duckworth - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	James Duckworth - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. retired ✺
09.11.25	James Duckworth - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	James Duckworth - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	James Duckworth - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?LWW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Filip Peliwo - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Alex Bolt - Maxim Zhukov	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Alex Bolt - James Duckworth	2:1

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