Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	James Duckworth		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.37
	1.24	3.68	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	3.45 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
72.8%

Dane Sweeny
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sweeny (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweeny (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 87. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 209.

Duckworth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sweeny is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sweeny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Duckworth is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Duckworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Duckworth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	James Duckworth - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	James Duckworth - Filip Peliwo	Canceled ✺
22.11.25	James Duckworth - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW?WW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Finn Bass - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	2:0
29.04.24	Dane Sweeny - James Duckworth	1:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
16.08.20	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	2:0

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