Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	James Duckworth		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.14	4.9
	1.14	6.13
	1.12	5.53	Watch
	1.12	5.15	Watch
	1.12	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.31)	5.45 ↑ (3.29)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
82.8%

Rio Noguchi
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Duckworth's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Duckworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 87. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 241.

Duckworth is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Noguchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Duckworth is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duckworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	James Duckworth - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	James Duckworth - Filip Peliwo	Canceled ✺
22.11.25	James Duckworth - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?WWW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Jake Delaney - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Tai Sach	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.10.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	1:2
21.02.23	Rio Noguchi - James Duckworth	0:2

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