Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	James Duckworth		Jason Kubler

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.42	2.69	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.68	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
59.4%

Jason Kubler
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jason Kubler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

James Duckworth - Jason Kubler Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kubler will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jason Kubler will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 106. Kubler is ranked ATP: 190.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Duckworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Duckworth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duckworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	James Duckworth - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	James Duckworth - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	James Duckworth - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	James Duckworth - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Jason Kubler
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Jason Kubler - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Jason Kubler - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Jason Kubler - Pavle Marinkov	2:1
17.11.25	Jason Kubler - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
11.11.25	Leo Vithoontien - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
15.07.22	Jason Kubler - James Duckworth	2:0
ATP Challenger
17.04.19	James Duckworth - Jason Kubler	2:0

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