Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	James Duckworth		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.25	1.64
	2.12	1.77
	2.17	1.78
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.54)	1.73 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
44.8%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	0%	59.1%

James Duckworth - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Meligeni will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meligeni: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Recent matches Duckworth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Meligeni Rodrigues Alves to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP US Open
25.08.23	James Duckworth - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
24.08.23	James Duckworth - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
22.08.23	James Duckworth - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.23	James Duckworth - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	James Duckworth - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
24.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
11.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francisco Comesana	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWW??

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