Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Francisco Comesana

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.16	1.76
	3.55	1.29	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	3.48	1.31	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.13)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
39.5%

Francisco Comesana
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francisco Comesana Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Comesana will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comesana: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 194. Comesana is ranked ATP: 67.

Two players are playing changeable.

Meligeni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Meligeni won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Francisco Comesana - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Santiago
23.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Bastian Malla	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW
- Francisco Comesana
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Gustavo Heide - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Francisco Comesana - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0
11.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francisco Comesana	Meligeni Alves F. retired
24.10.22	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francisco Comesana	2:0
25.06.22	Francisco Comesana - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0

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