Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	James Duckworth		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.09	1.83
	2.09	1.83
	2.1	1.73
	2.07	1.76	Watch
	2.09	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.24)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
46.1%

Luca Van Assche
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

James Duckworth - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Van Assche will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Duckworth is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Brisbane
05.01.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	James Duckworth - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Gregoire Barrere - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Philip Sekulic - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Auckland
10.01.24	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Luca Van Assche - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
31.12.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWW?L

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