Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Christian Garin		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.78
	2.07	1.79
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.19)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
46.4%

Luca Van Assche
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Garin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Van Assche is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Christian Garin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Christian Garin - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.24	Joao Fonseca - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
06.01.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	Canceled

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