Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	James Kent Trotter		Blake Ellis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.45	2.6
	1.46	2.76
	1.47	2.76
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.78	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	2.7 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Kent Trotter
65.3%

Blake Ellis
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Kent Trotter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Kent Trotter's performance.

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blake Ellis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Kent Trotter than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Kent Trotter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blake Ellis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Trotter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trotter will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Kent Trotter
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Ernesto Escobedo - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Yuki Mochizuki - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Trevor Svajda - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	James Kent Trotter - Cannon Kingsley	1:2 ✺
20.09.23	Emilio Gomez - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLW
- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Blake Ellis - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Blake Ellis - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Luke Saville - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.10.23	Blake Ellis - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

James Kent Trotter - Blake Ellis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide