Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	James McCabe		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.92
	1.93	2.00
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.90	1.89
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.75	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
50.7%

Bernard Tomic
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James McCabe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

James McCabe - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 242. Tomic is ranked ATP: 206.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

McCabe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

James McCabe - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	James McCabe - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	James McCabe - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Roman Safiullin - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Remy Bertola - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?LL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Bernard Tomic	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Bernard Tomic - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLW?L

James McCabe - Bernard Tomic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide