Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	James McCabe		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.60	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.14	1.58
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.23)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
42.5%

Rei Sakamoto
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

James McCabe - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 207. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 150.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

McCabe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

James McCabe - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Roman Safiullin - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Remy Bertola - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Rhys Lawlor - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	James McCabe - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Rei Sakamoto - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Rei Sakamoto - Jules Leroux	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Jaime Faria - Rei Sakamoto	3:1 ✺
24.06.26	Aziz Dougaz - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW

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