Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lincoln 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Darwin Blanch		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.42	2.65
	1.45	2.55
	1.49	2.69
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.24	2.85
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.66)	2.65 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
65.2%

Bernard Tomic
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darwin Blanch's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darwin Blanch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Darwin Blanch - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Darwin Blanch will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 224. Tomic is ranked ATP: 204.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Garrett Johns - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Darwin Blanch	Blanch Dar. Retired ✺
22.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWW??
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Bernard Tomic	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Bernard Tomic - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Kaichi Uchida - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LW?LW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Liam Draxl - Darwin Blanch	✺

Darwin Blanch - Bernard Tomic