Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lexington 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	James McCabe		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	1.95	1.7
	2.05	1.83
	2.11	1.66	Watch
	2.04	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.39)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
46.2%

Dusan Lajovic
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

James McCabe - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lajovic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCabe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 238. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 152.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Washington
25.07.26	James McCabe - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	James McCabe - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	James McCabe - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Cruz Hewitt - Dusan Lajovic	Lajovic D. Retired ✺
ATP Umag
13.07.26	Dusan Lajovic - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Dusan Lajovic	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Vilius Gaubas - Dusan Lajovic	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Chris Rodesch - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?LLLW

James McCabe - Dusan Lajovic