Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MALLORCA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	James McCabe		Michael Geerts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.23
	1.68	2.24
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	2.22 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
57.6%

Michael Geerts
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

James McCabe - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Geerts will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McCabe: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Geerts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

McCabe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
11.06.23	James McCabe - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Daniel Evans - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Mark Whitehouse - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Johannus Monday - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	Francisco Comesana - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLW?
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Michael Geerts - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Dan Added - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Facundo Bagnis - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

James McCabe - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide